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business Updated 22–23 Oct 2026

IMF forecasts 1.3% economic contraction for Pakistan, Middle East, and North Africa in 2026

HarZaviya summary · from 11 outlets

Most outlets reported the IMF's projection of a 1.3% economic contraction in Pakistan, the Middle East, and North Africa for 2026, with several noting the expected rebound to 6.6% growth in 2027. A few outlets, including Business Recorder, Dawn, and BOL News, attributed the contraction to the "US-Israeli-led war against Iran," while others, like Arab News Pakistan and Profit, focused on the broader regional context or risk factors such as energy disruptions. The Express Tribune and Aaj News (English) highlighted the "exceptionally high uncertainty" in the outlook, while ProPakistani and Daily Times provided more general summaries without specifying the cause.

Summary generated by HarZaviya from the headlines and excerpts of the 11 outlets below. Each outlet's own headline is listed under it.

How it developed

13 articles · 11 outlets

Fri

Pakistan GDP to contract 1.3pc in 2026: IMF

1 outlet
  1. Pakistan GDP to contract 1.3pc in 2026: IMF

    DUBAI: The IMF on Thursday forecast a sharp drop in economic output in the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan this year due to the Iran war, followed by 6.6 percent growth in 2027, though it warned that further energy production disruptions could worsen the outlook. The International Monetary Fund said the region’s output was expected to contract by 1.3 percent as a result of the war’s impa...

Thu

IMF forecasts 1.3% economic contraction for Pakistan, Middle East, and North Africa in 2026

11 outlets
HarZaviya summary · from 11 outlets

Most outlets led with the IMF's projection of a 1.3% economic contraction in Pakistan, the Middle East, and North Africa for 2026, attributing it to the US-Israeli-led war against Iran. Several also noted the expected rebound to 6.6% growth in 2027. A few outlets, including Business Recorder and BOL News, highlighted the differential impact on oil exporters and importers, while others like Express Tribune and Aaj News mentioned the "exceptionally high uncertainty" or risks from energy disruptions. The framing of the cause varied slightly, with some outlets placing more emphasis on the war's regional impact and others on broader economic factors.

Summary generated by HarZaviya from the headlines and excerpts of the 11 outlets below. Each outlet's own headline is listed under it.

  1. Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan GDP to contract 1.3% in 2026, IMF says

    The IMF on Thursday forecast a sharp drop in economic output in the ‌Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan this year due to the Iran war, followed by 6.6% growth in 2027, though it warned that further energy production disruptions could worsen the outlook. The International Monetary Fund said the region’s output was expected to contract by 1.3% because of the war’s impact on energy production,...

  2. BOL News 83% identical

    Pakistan, Middle East, North Africa face sharp economic drop from Iran war, IMF says

    IMF warns Iran war will cause sharp economic drop in Pakistan, Middle East, North Africa. Oil exporters are hit harder by energy disruptions; importers prove more resilient.

  3. Dunya News 86% identical

    IMF sees 1.3pc contraction in Pakistan, Middle East and North Africa in 2026

    IMF says contraction result of Mideast war's impact on energy production, shipping, trade and confidence

  4. ProPakistani 86% identical

    IMF Forecasts 1.3% Economic Contraction Across Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects economic output across the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan to contract by 1.3… Read More

  5. Dawn 89% identical

    IMF sees 1.3pc contraction in Pakistan this year due to Iran war

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday forecast a sharp drop in economic output in Pakistan, the Middle East and North Africa this year due to the US-Israeli-led war against Iran, followed by a rebound to 6.6 per cent growth in 2027, while warning that further energy production disruptions could worsen the outlook. The IMF said the region’s output was expected to contract by 1.3pc as...

  6. Profit 85% identical

    IMF sees 1.3% contraction in Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan in 2026

    Main risks derive from further disruption to energy production and trade routes ‌that ⁠could drive energy prices higher, Fund says in its latest regional outlook

  7. Daily Times 88% identical

    IMF projects 1.3 percent economic contraction across Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected a sharp 1.3 percent contraction in economic output across the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan in 2026. Financial experts attribute this economic downturn directly to the ongoing conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. The regional warfare continues disrupting critical energy production facilities, major international shippi...

  8. Geo News 82% identical

    IMF sees 1.3% contraction in Pakistan, Middle East and North Africa in 2026

    Vehicles move past a warehouse yard with shipping containers near port area in Karachi, July 31, 2025. — ReutersIMF expects output to rebound sharply to 6.6% in 2027.Middle East conflict likely to abate in early 2027: IMF.Urges policymakers to prioritise maintaining price stability.

  9. Business Recorder 94% identical

    IMF sees 1.3% contraction in Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan in 2026

    DUBAI: The IMF on Thursday forecast a sharp drop in economic output in the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan this year due to the ​US-Israeli-led war against Iran, followed by a rebound to 6.6% growth in ‌2027, while warning that further energy production disruptions could worsen the outlook. The International Monetary Fund said the region’s output was expected to contract by 1.3% as a res...

  10. The Express Tribune 74% identical

    IMF forecasts 1.3% contraction in Pakistan, 6.6% growth in 2027

    Says outlook remains ​clouded by 'exceptionally high uncertainty'

13 articles from 11 outlets over 2 developments, 22 Oct–23 Oct 2026. Headlines and links belong to their outlets — HarZaviya links out and never copies article text. What does % identical mean?