--- title: "IMF revises Pakistan's inflation forecast to 9.9% for FY2026-27" description: "Most outlets reported the IMF's updated inflation projection of 9.9% for FY2026-27 alongside the unchanged growth forecast of 3.5%. The framing was largely consistent, with a focus on the revised inflation rate and stable growth expectations." url: https://harzaviya.com/stories/13985-imf-warns-inflation-in-pakistan-will-skyrocket-to-9-9 site: HarZaviya language: en --- # IMF revises Pakistan's inflation forecast to 9.9% for FY2026-27 business · updated 15 Oct 2026, 6:36 AM PKT · 13–15 Oct 2026 · 18 articles from 13 outlets over 2 developments ## How it developed Newest development first. Each carries its own coverage and, where we have one, our summary of it. ### 14 Oct 2026 — IMF revises Pakistan's inflation forecast to 9.9% for FY2026-27 (4 outlets) > Most outlets reported the IMF's updated inflation projection of 9.9% for FY2026-27 alongside the unchanged growth forecast of 3.5%. The framing was largely consistent, with a focus on the revised inflation rate and stable growth expectations. - **Dawn** — [Lagging behind](https://www.dawn.com/news/2037275/lagging-behind) · 15 Oct 2026, 6:36 AM PKT > THE IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook projects Pakistan’s economy to grow by 3.5pc in the current fiscal year, while average inflation climbs to 9.9pc. The current account is expected to slip into a deficit of 1pc of GDP. This forecast points to an economy that remains vulnerable despite recent gains in macroeconomic stability. The economy expanded by 3.6pc last year. Further slowdown matters... - **Business Recorder** — [IMF growth projection](https://www.brecorder.com/news/40444238/imf-growth-projection) · 15 Oct 2026, 4:32 AM PKT · 80% identical wording to the newest filing > EDITORIAL: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its report titled World Economic Outlook released during the World Bank/IMF annual meeting in Bangkok projected Pakistan’s growth rate for the current year at 3.5 percent, above the global growth rate of 3.4 percent, and lower than the budgeted projection of 4 percent. In marked contrast, however, India is projected to reach a growth of 7 perc... - **The Friday Times** — [IMF Forecasts 3.5% Growth And 9.9% Inflation For Pakistan In FY2026-27](https://www.thefridaytimes.com/14-Oct-2026/imf-forecasts-3-5-percent-growth-9-9-percent-inflation-pakistan-fy2026-27) · 14 Oct 2026, 8:07 PM PKT · 78% identical wording to the newest filing > Pakistan’s economy is projected to grow by 3. - **Daily Times** — [IMF raises Pakistan’s inflation forecast to 9.9% in FY27](https://dailytimes.com.pk/1566938/imf-raises-pakistans-inflation-forecast-to-9-9-in-fy27/) · 14 Oct 2026, 8:40 AM PKT · 79% identical wording to the newest filing > Pakistan’s inflation rate is projected to rise to 9.9% in FY2026-27, while economic growth is forecast to remain at 3.5% in the current fiscal year, unchanged from the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) previous projection, according to the lender’s World Economic Outlook (WEO) report released on Tuesday. The IMF data showed that inflation is projected to […] ### 13 Oct 2026 — IMF raises Pakistan's inflation forecast to 9.9% for FY27, maintains 3.5% growth projection (12 outlets) > Most outlets led with the IMF's raised inflation forecast of 9.9% for fiscal year 2026-27 and the unchanged growth projection of 3.5%. Some, like *ProPakistani* and *24 News HD*, framed the inflation increase as contradicting or warning against government claims, while others such as *Dawn* and *Daily Times* presented the figures in a more neutral, factual manner. A few outlets, including *Business Recorder* and *Daily Pakistan (English)*, added context about the government’s growth and inflation targets, noting the IMF’s projections fall short or exceed them. Overall, the framing remained largely consistent, with variations in emphasis on the contrast between IMF and government expectations. - **Business Recorder** — [IMF projects 3.5pc growth, 9.9pc inflation](https://www.brecorder.com/news/40444113/imf-projects-35pc-growth-99pc-inflation) · 14 Oct 2026, 4:20 AM PKT > ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected Pakistan’s economic growth at 3.5 percent for fiscal year 2026-27, below the government’s 4 percent target but slightly above the global growth forecast of 3.4 percent, while trailing India’s projected 7 percent growth, while inflation in Pakistan is projected to surge to 9.9 percent, well above the official target of 8.2 percent. T... - **BOL News** — [IMF projects Pakistan’s inflation to rise to 9.9% in FY2026-27](https://bolnews.com/business/imf-projects-pakistans-inflation-to-rise-to-99-in-fy2026-27) · 13 Oct 2026, 7:36 PM PKT · 87% identical wording to the newest filing > IMF projects Pakistan's inflation will hit 9.9% by FY2027. Economic growth for the current fiscal year slows to 3.5%. Understand Pakistan's fiscal outlook. - **Pakistan Observer** — [IMF Projects Pakistan’s Inflation to Rise to 9.9% in FY27](https://pakobserver.net/imf-projects-pakistans-inflation-to-rise-to-9-9-in-fy27/) · 13 Oct 2026, 7:01 PM PKT · 81% identical wording to the newest filing > Pakistan’s inflation rate is projected to rise to 9.9% in fiscal year 2026-27, up from 7.1% in the previous fiscal… - **Daily Times** — [IMF projects Pakistan’s growth at 3.5pc in FY27](https://dailytimes.com.pk/1566666/imf-projects-pakistans-growth-at-3-5pc-in-fy27/) · 13 Oct 2026, 5:23 PM PKT · 92% identical wording to the newest filing > The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected Pakistan’s economy to grow by 3.5 per cent in fiscal year 2026-27. It also expects inflation to rise to 9.9 per cent, keeping price pressures close to double digits. In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF forecast growth below the government’s 4pc target. The projection also falls […] - **Dawn** — [Pakistan’s growth during FY27 projected at 3.5pc, inflation at 9.9pc: IMF](https://www.dawn.com/news/2036872/pakistans-growth-during-fy27-projected-at-35pc-inflation-at-99pc-imf) · 13 Oct 2026, 4:01 PM PKT · 92% identical wording to the newest filing > ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected Pakistan’s economic growth at 3.5 per cent during the current fiscal year and inflation to remain close to double digits for another year, notwithstanding global growth rebounding to 3.4pc. In its flagship World Economic Outlook, released at the launch of the World Bank-IMF annual meetings in Bangkok, the fund estimated Pakistan’s c... - **Geo News** — [IMF raises Pakistan's inflation forecast to 9.9% in FY27](https://www.geo.tv/latest/686287-imf-raises-pakistans-inflation-forecast-to-99-in-fy27) · 13 Oct 2026, 2:43 PM PKT · 79% identical wording to the newest filing > A man selling vegetables waits for customers at his makeshift stall at the Empress Market in Karachi, Pakistan April 2, 2018. — ReutersPakistan’s GDP growth is projected at 3.5% this fiscal year.Country's unemployment rate forecast to stand at 6.5% in FY27.US economy forecast to... - **Daily Pakistan (English)** — [IMF’s Latest Report warns Pakistan’s Inflation Could Hit near 10pc in 2027](https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/13-Oct-2026/imfs-latest-report-warns-pakistans-inflation-could-hit-near-10pc-in-2027) · 13 Oct 2026, 1:44 PM PKT · 82% identical wording to the newest filing > ISLAMABAD – Pakistan could face another wave of inflationary pressure in 2027, with International Monetary Fund (IMF) projecting fifth most populous country’s inflation rate to surge to 9.9% while economic growth slows slightly, raising fresh concerns about the economic outlook. In World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, the IMF said inflation is expected to climb from […] - **24 News HD** — [IMF warns inflation in Pakistan will skyrocket to 9.9%](https://www.24newshd.tv/13-Oct-2026/imf-warns-inflation-pakistan-will-skyrocket-9-9-percent) · 13 Oct 2026, 12:17 PM PKT · 79% identical wording to the newest filing > The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised Pakistan's inflation forecast for FY2026-27 to 9. - **ARY News (English)** — [IMF projects 9.9% inflation in Pakistan for FY2026-27](https://arynews.tv/imf-projects-9-9-inflation-in-pakistan-for-fy2026-27) · 13 Oct 2026, 12:08 PM PKT · 89% identical wording to the newest filing > The IMF’s growth projection falls short of the government’s target of 4% for the current fiscal year. However, Finance Minister Muhammad... - **Minute Mirror** — [IMF raises Pakistan’s inflation forecast to 9.9%](https://minutemirror.com.pk/imf-raises-pakistans-inflation-forecast-to-9-9-643767/) · 13 Oct 2026, 11:46 AM PKT · 82% identical wording to the newest filing > The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised Pakistan’s inflation forecast to 9.9% for the current fiscal year while maintaining its economic growth - **ProPakistani** — [IMF Contradicts Govt’s Inflation Claims for FY27](https://propakistani.pk/2026/10/13/imf-contradicts-govts-inflation-claims-for-fy27/) · 13 Oct 2026, 10:28 AM PKT · 77% identical wording to the newest filing > The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its inflation forecast for Pakistan to 9.9 percent for fiscal year 2026-27 while… Read More - **Profit** — [IMF raises Pakistan's FY27 inflation forecast to 9.9%, keeps growth projection at 3.5%](https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk/2026/10/13/imf-raises-pakistans-fy27-inflation-forecast-to-99percent-keeps-growth-projection-at-35percent) · 13 Oct 2026, 9:00 AM PKT · 83% identical wording to the newest filing > Inflation projection rises from 8.4% to 9.9%, exceeding government's 8.2% target; GDP growth forecast remains below official 4% target ## Part of a bigger story Other stories whose coverage resembles this one, nearest first. "% related" compares whole stories, not single articles — see [what the percentages mean](https://harzaviya.com/methodology). - [World Bank forecasts 3.8% economic growth for Pakistan in FY27 with rising inflation](https://harzaviya.com/stories/15844-pakistan-s-economic-growth-reaches-3-7-world-bank-says) · 23 Oct 2026 · 6 outlets · 2 developments · 88% related - [Pakistan expects higher inflation in current fiscal year](https://harzaviya.com/stories/1112-pakistan-expects-higher-inflation-in-current-fiscal-year) · 31 Jul 2026 · 2 outlets · 83% related - [Pakistan inflation rate reported at 10.3% in September 2026](https://harzaviya.com/stories/11713-pakistan-s-inflation-eases-to-10-3-in-september) · 2 Oct 2026 · 10 outlets · 81% related - [Pakistan inflation recorded at 9.2% year-on-year in July 2026](https://harzaviya.com/stories/1572-pakistan-inflation-drops-to-9-2-in-july-is-the-relief-real) · 4 Aug 2026 · 10 outlets · 80% related - [Pakistan’s FY26 GDP growth revised down to 3.65% — Economy reaches $450.4 billion](https://harzaviya.com/stories/15208-pakistan-s-gdp-growth-revised-down-to-3-65) · 20 Oct 2026 · 11 outlets · 79% related 18 articles from 13 outlets, 13–15 Oct 2026. 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